The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club Almagro 35.5%
Draw 32.8%
Güemes 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
34.2%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
33.3%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Club Almagro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
38.5%
15.4%
Club Almagro - Güemes Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Güemes will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Almagro: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Almagro (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Cortave M. 6. Busto L. 3. Tolosa N. 10. Bustamante F. 8. Palacio P. 5. Marchioni J. 11. Macies T. 7. Orlando J. 9. Benegas M.
1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Bordon A. 2. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 6. Oneto T. 3. Lazza E. 8. Benitez M. 5. Baier G. 11. Gerez M. 7. Juarez W. 10. Veliz D. 9. Sala S. G.
Substitutes
20. Belinetz O. 19. Bustos J. 13. Chamorro S. 16. Fernandes J. 15. Flores J. 18. Lopez T. 17. Martinez E. 14. Silcan E. 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)
19. Amilivia T. 14. Arnay R. 18. Esposito G. 16. Farrera S. 15. Juarez J. 12. Martinez L. (G) 13. Melillan F. 20. Mendoza J. 17. Pugliese G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Juarez W. 🟨,
30', Orlando J. 🟨,
35', Palacio P. 🟨,
40', Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Bustamante F. ⚽,
59', Benegas M. 🟨,
63', Cortave M. 🟨,
67', Lazza E. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Orlando J. ⚽, Asis G. (A),
74', Palacio P. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
74', Gerez M. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
74', Sala S. G. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
75', Juarez W. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
79', Benegas M. ↓, Belinetz O. ↑,
79', Orlando J. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
83', Tolosa N. ↓, Chamorro S. ↑,
83', Asis G. ↓, Silcan E. ↑,
84', Bordon A. ↓, Arnay R. ↑,
86', Benitez M. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1.
Almagro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Güemes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Güemes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Argentina
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