Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 38

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2	2.8	4.5
	2.05	2.8	4
	2.05	2.85	4.2	Watch
	2.13	2.85	4.75
	2.03	2.78	4.7	Watch
	2	2.88	4.2
	2	2.89	4.24
	2.05	2.85	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.04)	2.84 ↑ (2.63)	4.35 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
45.7%

Draw
32.8%

Defensores de Belgrano
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

35.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

34.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Neira E. 6. Abello D. 3. Sanabria I. 5. Birge R. 8. Galetto J. 7. Araujo A. 10. Chaves A. 11. Heredia F. 9. Gordillo L.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Mendoza G. 2. Laumann F. 3. Sanchez F. 6. De Tomasso J. 5. Gutierrez I. 8. Laba M. 10. Borsotti N. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Gonzalez E.
Substitutes
19. Attis T. 14. Busse W. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 17. Esparza M. 20. Ibanez M. 13. Monti I. 18. Rocca J. 15. Rojas F. 16. Villarreal R.	14. Barbero M. 17. Chavez L. 12. Nocetti A. (G) 13. Perez F. 15. Rumbolo R. 16. Sanchez C. 19. Tcherkaski F. 18. Zeineddin N.
Coaches
Forestello R.	Mayor C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Laba M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Chaves A. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
66', Galetto J. ↓, Rocca J. ↑,
66', Sanabria I. ↓, Rojas F. ↑,
66', Araujo A. ↓, Busse W. ↑,
67', Gonzalez E. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
67', Sanchez F. ↓, Barbero M. ↑,
79', Pietrobono I. 🟨,
80', Aguirre E. ↓, Chavez L. ↑,
80', Borsotti N. ↓, Rumbolo R. ↑,
80', Moyano P. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Neira E. ⚽,
83', Gordillo L. ↓, Monti I. ↑,

Preview

Defensores de Belgrano is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Gimnasia y Tiro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.24	Club Almagro - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:3 ✺
13.10.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Temperley - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Morón	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTTL
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Mitre	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Aldosivi - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Colón - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.06.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0

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