Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.75	2.95
	2.4	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.5	2.7	3.23
	2.51	2.7	3.23
	2.38	2.84	3.04
	2.44	2.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.34)	2.76 ↓ (2.86)	3.11 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
37.5%

Draw
33.1%

Villa Mitre
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

31.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

33.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Villa Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Gimnasia y Tiro - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Gimnasia y Tiro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villa Mitre is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villa Mitre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia y Tiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.11.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.11.23	Villa Mitre - Boca Unidos	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Villa Mitre - Sansinena	4:0 ✺
14.10.23	Círculo Deportivo - Villa Mitre	1:4 ✺
08.10.23	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.11.21	Gimnasia y Tiro - Villa Mitre	2:1

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