Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Sportivo Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.2	4.8
				Watch
	1.71	3.19	5.74
	1.71	3.19	5.74
	1.57	3.75	5
	1.66	3.2	5.35
	1.68	3.15	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	5.34 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
55%

Draw
27.9%

Sportivo Belgrano
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

27.3%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sportivo Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimnasia y Tiro is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia y Tiro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.10.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Sol de América de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW
- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.10.23	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Unión de Sunchales - Sportivo Belgrano	1:2 ✺
02.10.23	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1 ✺
18.09.23	Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.07.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Sportivo Belgrano	0:3
30.03.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1
17.10.21	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1
18.07.21	Gimnasia y Tiro - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1
22.04.18	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1
15.04.18	Gimnasia y Tiro - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1

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