Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3, FEF TV, Movistar Plus+ 1, TVG 2


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.87	3.15	4.4
	1.84	3.31	4.51
	1.8	3.24	4.49	Watch
	1.82	3.3	4.36
	1.87	3.15	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)	3.19 ↑ (3.18)	4.37 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
50.2%

Draw
28.8%

Celta de Vigo B
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

29.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástic de Tarragona's performance.

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celta de Vigo B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimnàstic will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Celta de Vigo B will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rebollo D. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 15. Leal A. 14. Sanz O. 21. Oriol J. 23. Concha D. 8. Montalvo M. 6. Gorostidi A. 11. Fernandez M. 9. Antonin 18. Jimenez A.	13. Vidal Girona M. V. (G) 21. Fernandez M. 5. Lago Y. 23. Garriel I. 7. Diez S. 14. Burcio H. 8. Roman M. 3. Tincho 22. Lopez F. 30. Marcos O. 9. Escobar J.
Substitutes
5. Dufur U. 17. Fernandez P. 10. Jardi J. 7. Jimenez N. 16. Lopez A. 22. Narro V. 3. Perez G. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Tirlea A. 1. Varo A. (G) 2. Vicens B.	15. Antanon A. 31. Arcos A. 34. Barreiros I. 1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 10. de la Iglesia D. 29. Gavian P. 11. Guedes J. 6. Meixus P. 19. Rodriguez E. 2. Vicente

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Jimenez A. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
43', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Concha D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Roman M. 🟨,
59', Burcio H. ↓, Gavian P. ↑,
59', Diez S. ↓, de la Iglesia D. ↑,
61', Oriol J. 🟨,
61', Gorostidi A. ↓, Dufur U. ↑,
62', Fernandez M. ↓, Narro V. ↑,
62', Jimenez A. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
73', Marcos O. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
75', Concha D. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
84', Tincho ↓, Guedes J. ↑,
84', Roman M. ↓, Barreiros I. ↑,
86', Dufur U. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gimnàstic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gimnàstic have a series of guest games.

Gimnàstic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.11.24	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWWL
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.11.24	Tarazona - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
16.11.24	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.04.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Celta de Vigo B	1:0
14.01.24	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1

Upcoming Matches