Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Celta de Vigo B		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.56	3.9	5.4
	1.59	3.86	5.56
	1.58	3.77	5.27	Watch
	1.58	3.78	5.42
	1.56	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.07)	3.8 ↑ (3.34)	5.33 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
58.6%

Draw
24.2%

Gimnástica Segoviana
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo B's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vidal Girona M. V. (G) 4. Alonso G. 5. Lago Y. 21. Fernandez M. 7. Diez S. 8. Roman M. 10. de la Iglesia D. 3. Tincho 22. Lopez F. 30. Alvarez H. 11. Guedes J.	1. Carmona P. (G) 26. Marcos H. 5. Pascual A. 3. Molina S. 18. Gabriel Palmero 14. Llorente F. 22. De La Mata J. 8. Diaz H. 7. Berlanga M. 19. Davo 20. Tellechea I.
Substitutes
15. Antanon A. 31. Arcos A. 34. Barreiros I. 14. Burcio H. 9. Escobar J. 25. Fernandez C. G. (G) 23. Garriel I. 29. Gavian P. 6. Meixus P. 17. Somuah B. 2. Vicente	11. Astray P. 10. Borrego J. 25. Changyi L. (G) 23. Ferreiroa F. 9. Gomez D. 21. Juan Silva 4. Lopez D. 44. Oliva H. (G) 6. Olmedilla M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Molina S. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
16', Diaz H. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, de la Iglesia D. ⚽,
27', Llorente F. 🟨,
29', Berlanga M. 🟨,
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Marcos H. ↓, Juan Silva ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Davo ⚽,
59', 🟨,
61', Llorente F. ↓, Olmedilla M. ↑,
61', Diaz H. ↓, Ferreiroa F. ↑,
61', Tellechea I. ↓, Borrego J. ↑,
64', Lopez F. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Escobar J. ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Escobar J. ⚽,
76', Marcos O. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
76', Alonso G. ↓, Meixus P. ↑,
82', Lago Y. 🟨,
84', de la Iglesia D. ↓, Antanon A. ↑,
84', Diez S. ↓, Gavian P. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Celta de Vigo B is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Celta de Vigo B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Celta de Vigo B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.10.24	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Celta de Vigo B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Celta de Vigo B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWT
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
12.10.24	Osasuna B - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:2 ✺
06.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Zamora	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Arenteiro - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.01.18	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2
26.08.17	Gimnástica Segoviana - Celta de Vigo B	0:0

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