Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.4	2.75	3.15
	2.33	2.9	3
	2.47	2.83	3.26
	2.38	3.08	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.2)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	3.05 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
38.7%

Draw
31.3%

Real Madrid Castilla
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

21%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástic de Tarragona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent matches Gimnàstic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Madrid Castilla is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real Madrid Castilla have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.01.22	Betis B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:3 ✺
26.01.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - FC Andorra	0:3 ✺
23.01.22	Linense - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
09.01.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
18.12.21	Badalona Futur - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTTL
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.01.22	Barcelona B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
22.01.22	Alcoyano - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
08.01.22	Real Madrid Castilla - FC Andorra	3:1 ✺
18.12.21	Betis B - Real Madrid Castilla	0:3 ✺
11.12.21	Sevilla B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.09.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1

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