Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday


	Barcelona B		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.3	3.2	2.75
	2.47	3.22	2.92
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.45	3.16	2.85
	2.36	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.87 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
38.8%

Draw
29.3%

Real Madrid Castilla
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Barcelona B - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tenas A. (G) 15. Nunez A. 21. Carbonell A. 3. Riad C. 6. Dionkou R. 8. Moha Moukhliss 4. Casado M. 19. Alba T. 20. Cruz Luisimi 9. Fernandez Jaen R. 11. Pedrola E.	1. Lopez L. (G) 4. Carrillo A. 3. Marin R. 19. Marvel 5. Ramon P. 14. Alvaro 6. Martin M. 8. Dotor C. 25. Obrador R. 34. Paz Martinez N. 20. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
5. Alex Zalaya 31. Astralaga A. (G) 16. Blanco F. 17. Fuentes J. 28. Garrido A. 10. Hernandez U. 34. Pocho R. 2. Rosanas S. 13. Ruiz N. (G) 12. Vega R. 40. Vicens B. 39. Yamal L.	28. Angel M. 22. Aranda O. 21. Bravo I. 13. Canizares L. (G) 31. Garcia G. 17. Leiva A. 26. Pujol E. 2. Tobias V. 18. Villar J.

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.05.23	Barcelona B - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	La Nucía - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Barcelona B - Intercity	0:2 ✺
06.05.23	Eldense - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Barcelona B - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLTW
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.05.23	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	Leonesa - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta	0:3 ✺
30.04.23	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.01.22	Barcelona B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2
16.10.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Barcelona B	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
15.02.14	Real Madrid Castilla - Barcelona B	3:1
15.09.13	Barcelona B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0
27.01.13	Barcelona B - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1
25.08.12	Real Madrid Castilla - Barcelona B	3:2

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