Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástica Segoviana		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.7	2.05
	3.6	2.9	1.98
	3.95	2.9	2.08
	3.59	3.21	2.06
	3.61	3.17	2.02	Watch
	3.62	3.08	2.08
	3.95	2.9	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.37)	2.98 ↑ (2.74)	2.05 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
24.5%

Draw
30.8%

FC Andorra
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

33.5%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

32%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Andorra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - FC Andorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Oliva H. (G) 26. Marcos H. 5. Pascual A. 17. Chupo 18. Gabriel Palmero 14. Llorente F. 22. De La Mata J. 8. Diaz H. 7. Berlanga M. 19. Davo 10. Borrego J.	13. Oier (G) 17. Clemente J. 4. Trigueros P. 23. Alende D. 27. Rodriguez I. 16. Pena A. 14. Molina S. (C) 15. Redondo L. 24. Casadesus P. 9. Nieto M. 21. Cerda J.
Substitutes
11. Astray P. 25. Changyi L. (G) 23. Ferreiroa F. 28. Garcia G. 9. Gomez D. 30. Hernando D. 29. Ibanes R. 6. Olmedilla M. 20. Tellechea I.	26. Achhiba B. 19. Almpanis C. 10. Alvaro 2. Arumi J. 31. Boga C. (G) 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 7. Fuentes J. 11. Lauti 8. Moran E. 12. Ndiaye Dione A. 1. Ratti N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Trigueros P. 🟨,
27', Cerda J. 🟨,
31', Redondo L. 🟨,
33', Diaz H. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
51', 1 - 0, Llorente F. ⚽,
60', Trigueros P. ↓, Moran E. ↑,
60', Redondo L. ↓, Alvaro ↑,
61', Cerda J. ↓, Almpanis C. ↑,
61', Casadesus P. ↓, Lauti ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Lauti ⚽,
67', Chupo 🟨,
68', Davo ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
68', Diaz H. ↓, Ferreiroa F. ↑,
69', 🟨,
76', Marcos H. ↓, Tellechea I. ↑,
77', Borrego J. ↓, Olmedilla M. ↑,
78', De La Mata J. ↓, Astray P. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Nieto M. ⚽,
88', Almpanis C. ↓, Ndiaye Dione A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Astray P. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 2, Tellechea I. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

G Segoviana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Andorra is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Andorra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Andorra will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	0:0 ✺
08.11.24	Tarazona - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTTL
- FC Andorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.11.24	FC Andorra - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	FC Andorra - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Ourense CF - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Don Benito - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTWTW

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