Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Tarazona		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.1	3.05	3.6
	2.08	3.16	3.83
	2.03	3.11	3.65	Watch
	2.05	3.08	3.71
	2.1	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.23)	3.06 ↑ (2.98)	3.63 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
44.6%

Draw
30%

Gimnástica Segoviana
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tarazona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tarazona - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Camus S. 15. Rodriguez J. 5. Murria V. 3. Martinez Chechu 7. Areso J. 10. Mena P. 8. Romero B. 22. Llacer L. 9. Cubillas D. 19. Fuentes A.	1. Carmona P. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 3. Molina S. 17. Chupo 22. De La Mata J. 8. Diaz H. 14. Llorente F. 7. Berlanga M. 19. Davo 10. Borrego J.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez M. 14. Buyla J. 20. Camero M. 12. Cedeno E. 17. Gil I. 11. Martin J. 6. Mencia J. 21. Pradera M. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 23. Rico M.	11. Astray P. 25. Changyi L. (G) 23. Ferreiroa F. 18. Gabriel Palmero 9. Gomez D. 26. Marcos H. 44. Oliva H. (G) 6. Olmedilla M. 20. Tellechea I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Diaz H. ⚽, De La Mata J. (A),
27', Llorente F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Davo ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
46', Martinez Chechu ↓, Martin J. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Fuentes A. ⚽,
57', Pascual A. 🟨,
63', Cubillas D. ↓, Pradera M. ↑,
73', Llorente F. ↓, Astray P. ↑,
74', Areso J. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Llacer L. ⚽,
84', Martin J. 🟨,
85', Davo ↓, Ferreiroa F. ↑,
86', Mena P. ↓, Cedeno E. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Recent matches Tarazona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

G Segoviana is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tarazona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tarazona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.11.24	Barakaldo - Tarazona	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Tarazona - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Real Sociedad B - Tarazona	3:2 ✺
13.10.24	Tarazona - Sestao	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Leonesa - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.24	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
20.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
12.10.24	Osasuna B - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL

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