Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Sociedad B		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.75
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.79	3.3	4.5
	1.76	3.49	4.43
	1.74	3.41	4.55	Watch
	1.77	3.18	4.92
	1.79	3.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.69)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	4.52 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
52.2%

Draw
27.6%

Gimnástica Segoviana
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

28.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

23.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Real Sociedad B - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 38. Ropero I. 15. Rodriguez P. 23. Agote U. 11. Ochieng J. 10. Goti Lopez M. 6. Lebarbier A. 8. Rodriguez M. 20. Mariezkurrena A. 9. Orobengoa E.	44. Oliva H. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 22. De La Mata J. 17. Chupo 14. Llorente F. 6. Olmedilla M. 11. Astray P. 19. Davo 9. Gomez D. 10. Borrego J.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 33. Balda J. 37. Beitia L. 35. Carrera G. 7. Diaz D. 18. Garcia E. 16. Gibelalde M. . Marchal A. 21. Merino J. 17. Ramirez D.	7. Berlanga M. 25. Changyi L. (G) 8. Diaz H. 23. Ferreiroa F. 18. Gabriel Palmero 29. Ibanes R. 26. Marcos H. 20. Tellechea I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Juan Silva 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Chupo ⚽,
28', Juan Silva 🟨,
45', Borrego J. ↓, Berlanga M. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', Gomez D. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
65', Lebarbier A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
65', Rodriguez M. ↓, Gibelalde M. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Mariezkurrena A. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Ruperez I. ⚽,
70', Astray P. ↓, Tellechea I. ↑,
75', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
75', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
77', Llorente F. 🟨,
79', 4 - 1, Goti Lopez M. (Pen),
80', Ropero I. ↓, Beitia L. ↑,
84', 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15).

Recent matches Real Sociedad B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

G Segoviana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Sociedad B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Sociedad B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	5:0 ✺
10.11.24	Zamora - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
06.11.24	Barcelona B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	FC Andorra - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTLT
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	0:0 ✺
08.11.24	Tarazona - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.24	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTTLL

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