Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ourense CF		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.7	2.25
	3.2	2.9	2.15
	3.45	2.9	2.26
	3.27	2.97	2.29
	3.29	2.94	2.25	Watch
	3.32	2.96	2.26
	3.45	2.9	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (4.91)	2.9 ↓ (3.02)	2.25 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
27.5%

Draw
31.7%

FC Andorra
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

30.5%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

30.8%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ourense CF's performance.

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Andorra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ourense CF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Andorra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ourense CF - FC Andorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 17. Prada R. 4. Carmona F. 5. Prado M. 3. Sanz H. 11. Gil A. 8. Ramos J. (C) 6. Fidalgo A. 14. del Olmo I. 10. Gil A. 7. Carbonell J.	13. Oier (G) 17. Clemente J. 23. Alende D. 5. Morgado C. 27. Rodriguez I. 16. Pena A. 8. Moran E. 14. Molina S. (C) 15. Redondo L. 9. Nieto M. 21. Cerda J.
Substitutes
2. Andrada F. 9. Di Renzo G. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 22. Noriega J. 21. Raigal J. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Sanchez A. 15. Zalaya A.	19. Almpanis C. 10. Alvaro 2. Arumi J. 31. Boga C. (G) 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 24. Casadesus P. 7. Fuentes J. 11. Lauti 12. Ndiaye Dione A. 1. Ratti N. (G) 22. Rosas B. 4. Trigueros P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Moran E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moran E. ↓, Alvaro ↑,
60', Morgado C. 🟥,
67', Ramos J. 🟨,
68', Nieto M. ↓, Trigueros P. ↑,
68', Pena A. ↓, Ndiaye Dione A. ↑,
72', Prado M. 🟨,
76', Alende D. 🟨,
77', Gil A. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
77', Cerda J. ↓, Lauti ↑,
77', Gil A. ↓, Andrada F. ↑,
81', Prada R. ↓, Noriega J. ↑,
82', Oier 🟨,
84', Clemente J. 🟨,
89', Ramos J. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
89', del Olmo I. ↓, Raigal J. ↑,
90+4', Redondo L. ↓, Arumi J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ourense CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Andorra is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Guijuelo - Ourense CF	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Leonesa - Ourense CF	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLLT
- FC Andorra
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Don Benito - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	FC Andorra - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	FC Andorra - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Zamora - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	FC Andorra - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTLW

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