Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3, FEF TV


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	3.2	3.35	2.13
	3.38	3.3	2.06
	3.29	3.34	2.06	Watch
	3.31	3.36	2.07
	3.2	3.35	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	3.3 ↓ (3.37)	2.1 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
28.6%

Draw
27.8%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

27.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

27.2%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gimnástica Segoviana - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Oliva H. (G) 3. Molina S. 5. Pascual A. 17. Chupo 23. Ferreiroa F. 14. Llorente F. 6. Olmedilla M. 10. Borrego J. 7. Berlanga M. 9. Gomez D. 19. Farrell J.	13. Rebollo D. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 14. Sanz O. 5. Dufur U. 21. Oriol J. 8. Montalvo M. 11. Fernandez M. 17. Fernandez P. 19. Torres R. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin
Substitutes
11. Astray P. 1. Carmona P. (G) 18. Cespedes M. 8. Diaz H. 29. Ibanes R. 4. Lopez D. 26. Marcos H. 32. Maroto A. 33. Postigo A. (G) 20. Tellechea I.	23. Concha D. 38. Gutierrez A. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Junca D. 15. Leal A. 3. Perez G. 37. Pujol E. 29. Subirats O. 1. Varo A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Narro V. ⚽,
17', 1 - 2, Chupo ⚽,
34', Borrego J. 🟨,
39', 2 - 2, Pascual A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Oriol J. ↓, Junca D. ↑,
64', Narro V. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
64', Fernandez M. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
65', Domingo Ciuraneta P. 🟨,
70', Dufur U. 🟨,
73', Sanz O. 🟨,
74', Ferreiroa F. ↓, Cespedes M. ↑,
74', Berlanga M. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
75', Torres R. 🟨,
76', Olmedilla M. 🟨,
78', Olmedilla M. ↓, Tellechea I. ↑,
86', Gomez D. ↓, Maroto A. ↑,
89', Borrego J. 🟨,
90', Dufur U. ↓, Leal A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

G Segoviana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, G Segoviana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnástica Segoviana - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.85%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.05.25	Sestao - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	FC Andorra - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:1 ✺
13.04.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Celta de Vigo B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTLL
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	FC Andorra - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Unión de Irun	4:1 ✺
20.04.25	Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.01.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:0

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