Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Sestao		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.42	4.1	6
	1.6	3.8	5.2
	1.58	3.96	5.09
	1.58	3.85	5.08	Watch
	1.58	3.85	5.27
	1.6	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.68)	3.89 ↑ (3.15)	5.55 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
59.8%

Draw
23.6%

Gimnástica Segoviana
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.8%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sestao - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sestao will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sestao (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Herrerin I. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 23. Efremov A. 21. Miranda A. 12. Barandalla M. 17. Samperio J. 8. Garai G. 15. Bustillo M. 18. Cordoba A. 9. Aznar D. 10. Martinez Ortiz L.	44. Oliva H. (G) 11. Astray P. 3. Molina S. 5. Pascual A. 17. Chupo 14. Llorente F. 6. Olmedilla M. 23. Ferreiroa F. 19. Farrell J. 9. Gomez D. 10. Borrego J.
Substitutes
11. Etxaniz J. 22. Etxeberria M. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 30. Matar P. 7. Planas A. 4. Relu 19. Rojo J.	7. Berlanga M. 1. Carmona P. (G) 18. Cespedes M. 22. De La Mata J. 8. Diaz H. 4. Lopez D. 26. Marcos H. 32. Maroto A. 33. Postigo A. (G) 20. Tellechea I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Farrell J. ⚽,
27', Molina S. 🟨,
39', Aznar D. 🟨,
40', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Relu ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Astray P. 🟨,
55', Ferreiroa F. ↓, De La Mata J. ↑,
66', Samperio J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
72', Borrego J. ↓, Tellechea I. ↑,
72', Astray P. ↓, Berlanga M. ↑,
82', Farrell J. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Garai G. ⚽,
90+1', Cordoba A. ↓, Planas A. ↑,
90+1', De La Mata J. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Gomez D. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

G Segoviana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sestao is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.05.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Sestao	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Sestao - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Barakaldo - Sestao	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Barcelona B - Sestao	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Sestao - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTWLW
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.05.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	FC Andorra - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:1 ✺
13.04.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Celta de Vigo B	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Lugo - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
08.11.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	3:4 ET

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