Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.35
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.65	3.35	2.46
	2.73	3.19	2.5
	2.68	3.22	2.48	Watch
	2.76	3.04	2.51
	2.65	3.35	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.57)	3.21 ↑ (3.18)	2.45 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
34.3%

Draw
28.5%

Real Unión de Irun
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.8%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carmona P. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 3. Molina S. 4. Lopez D. 22. De La Mata J. 6. Olmedilla M. 10. Borrego J. 7. Berlanga M. 19. Davo 20. Tellechea I.	13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 4. Olaortua I. 6. Quintana A. 3. Carlos J. 10. Rivero Q. 16. Vidorreta A. 22. Garrido D. 21. San Bartolome V. 7. Aranzabe A. 20. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
25. Changyi L. (G) 8. Diaz H. 23. Ferreiroa F. 18. Gabriel Palmero 9. Gomez D. 14. Llorente F. 26. Marcos H. 44. Oliva H. (G) 16. Sanz R.	8. Bilbao I. 17. Cayarga B. 5. Dominguez J. 18. Lozano A. 15. Mosquera Y. 24. Munroe F. 11. Obieta K. 25. Perez C. (G) 2. Santos S. 1. Txusta (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Lopez D. 🟨,
29', Olaortua I. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Davo (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Olaortua I. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Tellechea I. ⚽,
55', Vidorreta A. 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Davo ⚽,
57', Eimil V. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
57', San Bartolome V. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
57', Aranzabe A. ↓, Benito A. ↑,
67', Berlanga M. ↓, Sanz R. ↑,
67', Borrego J. ↓, Llorente F. ↑,
69', Vidorreta A. ↓, Bilbao I. ↑,
76', Davo ↓, Gabriel Palmero ↑,
76', Tellechea I. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
82', Sanz R. ↓, Marcos H. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Real Unión could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.24	Osasuna B - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:2 ✺
06.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Zamora	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Arenteiro - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Ourense CF - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWT
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	FC Andorra - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Tarazona - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTWT

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