Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Zamora

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.1
	3.25	2.95	2.1
	3.35	3.15	2.15
	3.37	3.14	2.16
	3.53	3.12	2.06
	3.5	3.1	2.11
	3.35	3.15	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (1.94)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	2.12 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
26.9%

Draw
29.7%

Zamora
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

30%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnástica Segoviana's form might have worsened.

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zamora's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástica Segoviana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zamora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gimnástica Segoviana - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carmona P. (G) 21. Juan Silva 4. Lopez D. 5. Pascual A. 18. Gabriel Palmero 10. Borrego J. 6. Olmedilla M. 23. Ferreiroa F. 20. Tellechea I. 7. Berlanga M. 19. Davo	1. Sobron F. (G) 15. Lucero R. 5. Alvarez A. 6. Ramirez J. 23. Campabadal E. 14. Kike 2. Gorjon A. 10. Ramos C. 3. Nieto S. 20. Tresaco R. 9. Pito Camacho
Substitutes
25. Changyi L. (G) 22. De La Mata J. 9. Gomez D. 29. Ibanes R. 26. Marcos H. 3. Molina S. 44. Oliva H. (G) 30. Pichu 16. Sanz R.	13. Altube D. (G) 22. Castaneda J. 4. Claveria P. 16. Gutierrez C. 18. Macho G. 21. Priego J. 24. Rivas L. 19. Speljak K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', Tellechea I. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Tresaco R. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Berlanga M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Juan Silva 🟨,
62', Ferreiroa F. ↓, Sanz R. ↑,
62', Juan Silva ↓, Marcos H. ↑,
62', Tellechea I. ↓, De La Mata J. ↑,
63', Lucero R. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
63', Ramos C. ↓, Claveria P. ↑,
72', Tresaco R. ↓, Priego J. ↑,
79', Borrego J. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
79', Olmedilla M. ↓, Pichu ↑,
79', Ramirez J. 🟨,
88', Pito Camacho ↓, Macho G. ↑,
88', Kike ↓, Speljak K. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gimnástica Segoviana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zamora is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zamora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Zamora will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.09.24	Arenteiro - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Ourense CF - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Barakaldo - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLT
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.09.24	Zamora - Amorebieta	5:0 ✺
21.09.24	Barcelona B - Zamora	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Zamora - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Zamora	3:3 ✺
01.09.24	Zamora - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTL

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