The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Unión de Irun 40%
Draw 29.7%
Barakaldo 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
29.2%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
29.4%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Real Unión de Irun - Barakaldo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 4. Olaortua I. 6. Quintana A. 24. Munroe F. 22. Garrido D. 10. Rivero Q. (C) 21. San Bartolome V. 16. Vidorreta A. 7. Aranzabe A. 20. Sergio Benito
1. Tena J. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 12. Artetxe M. 3. Garcia B. 16. Lopez O. 22. Bujan U. 5. Molina E. 21. Uriarte K. 20. Martinez J. 18. Santiago P. 9. Sannadi M.
Substitutes
9. Benito A. 8. Bilbao I. 17. Cayarga B. 5. Dominguez J. 18. Lozano A. 3. Marquez J. 15. Mosquera Y. 11. Obieta K. 25. Perez C. (G) 2. Santos S. 1. Txusta (G)
23. Bilbao L. 2. de Jesus B. 8. Huidobro J. 19. Isuskiza V. 4. Jelbat A. 15. Muguruza A. 6. Naveira U. 13. Perez U. (G) 11. Revilla A. 10. Torre I. 14. Txoperena U. 17. Vicandi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', San Bartolome V. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, San Bartolome V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Huidobro J. ↑,
46', Uriarte K. ↓, Revilla A. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Santiago P. ⚽,
59', Bujan U. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
69', Eimil V. 🟨,
79', Garrido D. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
79', Eimil V. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
80', Santiago P. 🟨,
84', Sannadi M. ↓, Taranilla V. ↑,
89', Santiago P. ↓, Torre I. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 1.
Recent matches Real Unión is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Barakaldo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Barakaldo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Real Unión will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17:23 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.1:1.3).
Spain
Watch
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Wright J. (G) 
Eimil V. 
Mosquera Y. 
Jelbat A. 
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