Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Athletic Bilbao B		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.19	3.15	3.35
	2.18	3.25	3.31	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3
	2.13	3.05	3.31
	2.12	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.26)	3.08 ↓ (3.22)	3.22 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
42.1%

Draw
29.6%

Zamora
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 15. Alday I. 5. Monreal I. 3. De Luis J. (C) 12. Barandalla M. 8. Lete E. 6. Gibelalde M. 20. Korkut E. 22. Perez A. 9. Sanz I. 23. Gift E.	1. Sobron F. (G) 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Athuman I. 20. Codina M. 3. Merchan D. 22. Sancho J. 16. Lozano M. 10. Ramos C. (C) 7. Kike 9. Losada M. 19. Abde
Substitutes
1. Gamen E. (G) 21. Garcia B. 7. Hierro A. 17. Huestamendia P. 2. Irurita X. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 19. Louis-Jean J. 10. Sanchez I. 26. Sola J.	15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 8. Marcelo A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 5. Ruiz E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Monreal I. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Korkut E. ⚽,
24', Lete E. 🟨,
45+1', Codina M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sancho J. ↓, Buron L. ↑,
48', Korkut E. 🟨,
48', Kike 🟨,
60', Korkut E. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
70', Sanz I. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
70', Gift E. ↓, Huestamendia P. ↑,
71', Losada M. ↓, Romero Morillo A. ↑,
75', Gibelalde M. 🟨,
83', Abde ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
84', De Luis J. ↓, Izagirre Cestona A. ↑,
84', Gibelalde M. ↓, Sola J. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Athletic Bilbao B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Athletic Bilbao B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ath Bilbao B	6	3	2	1	12:8	4	11
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Zamora - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.06%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.02.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTWL
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.26	Zamora - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Mérida AD - Zamora	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Zamora - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.25	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	4:1
01.02.25	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2
07.09.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Zamora	3:3
12.02.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Zamora	1:0
29.08.21	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1

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