Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Gimnástica de Torrelavega		Sámano

	1	X	2
	1.17	5.75	15.5
	1.2	4.4	10.5
	1.09	5.6	25
	1.13	6.34	18.38
	1.14	5.4	36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.35)	5.5 ↑ (3.93)	21.08 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
79.2%

Draw
16.5%

Sámano
4.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.7%

18.4%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástica de Torrelavega's performance.

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sámano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sámano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Sámano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 9).

Recent matches Gimnástica de Torrelavega is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sámano is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sámano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gimnástica de Torrelavega is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gimnástica de Torrelavega won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnástica de Torrelavega won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.02.22	Selaya - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2 ✺
13.02.22	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Vimenor	1:3 ✺
06.02.22	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Torina	0:2 ✺
29.01.22	Atlético Albericia - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2 ✺
23.01.22	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWT
- UD Sámano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
19.02.22	Sámano - Torina	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Atlético Albericia - Sámano	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Sámano - Escobedo	0:2 ✺
30.01.22	Naval Reinosa - Sámano	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Sámano - Siete Villas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
30.10.21	Sámano - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.02.18	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Sámano	5:0

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