Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.65	3.45	1.9
	3.92	3.69	1.96
	3.8	3.4	1.91
	3.74	3.74	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.78)	3.53 ↑ (3.46)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
24.6%

Draw
26.6%

V-Varen Nagasaki
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

27.1%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

17.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giravanz Kitakyushu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for V-Varen Nagasaki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Giravanz Kitakyushu - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 15).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

V-Varen Nagasaki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

V-Varen Nagasaki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Giravanz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 League
05.05.21	Tochigi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2 ✺
01.05.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2 ✺
25.04.21	Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
21.04.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
17.04.21	Kyoto Sanga - Giravanz Kitakyushu	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLTL
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
05.05.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
02.05.21	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
25.04.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
21.04.21	Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:3 ✺
17.04.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
17.10.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1
27.06.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1
03.11.16	V-Varen Nagasaki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:0
03.05.16	Giravanz Kitakyushu - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2
23.11.15	Giravanz Kitakyushu - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1
21.03.15	V-Varen Nagasaki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0
24.08.14	Giravanz Kitakyushu - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1

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