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Current Win Probability
Mito HollyHock 44%
Draw 28.7%
V-Varen Nagasaki 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
30.3%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
29%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mito HollyHock that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
28.6%
0%
Mito HollyHock - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 25. Mase T. 2. Danilo Cardoso 17. Itakura K. 7. Omori S. 11. Torikai Y. 19. Semba T. 8. Kato C. 39. Yamamoto H. 29. Tada K. 10. Watanabe A. (C)
1. Goto M. (G) 22. Onaga H. 4. Dudu Giusti 6. Egawa Y. 3. Sekiguchi M. 5. Yamaguchi H. (C) 44. Nabeshima H. 17. Takahata K. 41. Hasegawa M. 33. Kasayanagi T. 10. Matheus Jesus
Substitutes
13. Aihara S. 5. Inoue S. 70. Matheus Leiria 21. Matsubara S. (G) 15. Nagao Y. 9. Nemoto R. 20. Patryck 4. Ushizawa T. 24. Yamazaki K.
11. Campbell N. 21. Diego Pituca 13. Hatano G. (G) 45. Hyeung-jun N. 34. Matsumoto T. 20. Nakamura K. 48. Teruyama H. 18. Yamasaki R. 23. Yoneda S.
Coaches
Kimori D.
Takagi T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Nabeshima H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Takahata K. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
64', Tada K. ↓, Patryck ↑,
64', Kasayanagi T. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
64', Nabeshima H. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
68', Torikai Y. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
68', Watanabe A. ↓, Aihara S. ↑,
69', Semba T. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
78', Hasegawa M. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
80', Mase T. ↓, Matheus Leiria ↑,
88', Matheus Jesus ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 2.
Mito HollyHock has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, V-Varen Nagasaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mito HollyHock is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Fofana M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osaki K.
(Knee Injury)
Shimatani K.
(Lower Back Injury)
There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
Nagura T.
(Illness)
There are questionable in Mito HollyHock: Kamiyama M.
(Finger Injury)
Sasaki K.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in V-Varen Nagasaki: Iwasaki Y.
(Injury)
We predict that V-Varen Nagasaki will win today's game, with odds of 3.08.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Mito: 0.78% V-Varen Nagasaki: 0.6%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Mito
4
1
2
1
6:5
1
5
18
V-Varen Nagasaki
4
1
0
3
4:9
-5
3
Last Results with these Odds
Mito HollyHock - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Nishikawa K. (G) 
Danilo Cardoso 
Campbell N. 
Hyeung-jun N. 
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