Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 36

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (Nagasaki)


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.26	3.46	2.28
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.24	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.75)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	2.21 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
29.3%

Draw
28.4%

Machida Zelvia
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.1%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

V Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hatano G. (G) 3. Okano J. 25. Kushibiki K. 18. Imazu Y. 8. Masuyama A. 47. Matheus Jesus 10. Cesar C. 19. Sawada T. 50. Nakamura K. 2. Marcos Guilherme 9. Juanma Delgado	42. Fukui K. (G) 43. Suzuki J. 14. Jang M. 4. Ikeda J. 22. Onaga H. 27. Hirakawa Y. 33. Matsui R. 41. Yasui T. 9. Numata T. 25. Fujio S. 15. Duke M.
Substitutes
35. Abe T. 31. Harada G. (G) 32. Joppu S. 38. Matsuzawa K. 14. Nagura T. 40. Shirai H. 28. Takahashi S.	7. Araki S. 34. Fujiwara Y. 30. Nakashima Y. 2. Okuyama M. 23. Popp W. (G) 18. Shimoda H. 39. Vasquez B.
Coaches
Carille F.	Kuroda G.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Machida Zelvia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-19.

Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
16.09.23	Blaublitz Akita - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:4 ✺
19.08.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWL
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
17.09.23	Fujieda MYFC - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Machida Zelvia - Montedio Yamagata	5:0 ✺
19.08.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
11.06.23	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	4:1
17.07.22	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2
09.04.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	1:0
18.09.21	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:3
17.04.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	0:3
04.11.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	3:1
23.09.20	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1

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