Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Referee: Saguez G. (Esp)


	Girona		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4	5.25
	1.52	4	6.25
	1.51	4.2	5.4
	1.54	4.36	6.49
	1.44	4.2	7	Watch
	1.5	4.55	6.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.43)	4.26 ↓ (4.98)	6 ↓ (7.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
62.3%

Draw
22%

Mirandés
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

19.3%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

18.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	10.7%	7.1%

Girona - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: Girona will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 15).

Girona has the most likely position - 6 (36.63%), has project points - 67, has currently - 64, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (72%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has not chance of win league.

Mirandés has the most likely position - 15 (26.3%), has project points - 52, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has quality 36, importance 42, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Girona won 2.

Recent matches Girona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mirandés is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Girona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Girona is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Girona won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
15.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Girona	2:1 ✺
09.05.22	Girona - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
01.05.22	Alcorcón - Girona	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Cartagena - Girona	3:0 ✺
18.04.22	Girona - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
15.05.22	Mirandés - Ibiza	4:0 ✺
06.05.22	Las Palmas - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
24.04.22	Mirandés - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
15.04.22	Amorebieta - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.10.21	Mirandés - Girona	1:2
13.02.21	Mirandés - Girona	3:3
01.12.20	Girona - Mirandés	1:0
01.03.20	Mirandés - Girona	1:1
22.12.19	Girona - Mirandés	0:3
25.02.17	Mirandés - Girona	0:2
22.09.16	Girona - Mirandés	1:1

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