Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 34

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)


	Mirandés		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	4	Watch
	2	3	3.7
	2.1	3.25	3.6
	2.05	3.25	4.19
	2.06	3.1	4	Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.82)	3.18 ↓ (3.27)	3.88 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
46.1%

Draw
29.6%

Ibiza
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

32%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirandés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ibiza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Mirandés - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Ibiza will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Mirandés has the most likely position - 15 (11.82%), project points - 52, currently - 41, a small chance of relegated (6%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (53.39%), project points - 38, currently - 28, a good chance of relegated (95%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 28, small importance 20, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Mirandés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mirandés will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
26.03.23	Ponferradina - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
20.03.23	Mirandés - Eibar	2:3 ✺
12.03.23	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:4 ✺
04.03.23	Mirandés - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Mirandés - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWWT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
25.03.23	Ibiza - Burgos	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Leganés - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Ibiza - Huesca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.11.22	Ibiza - Mirandés	1:1
15.05.22	Mirandés - Ibiza	4:0
17.10.21	Ibiza - Mirandés	0:2

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