Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Cartagena		Girona

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.65	3.2	2.7
	2.6	3.1	2.65
	2.75	3.37	2.73
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.69	3.24	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.23)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.63 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
34.9%

Draw
29.4%

Girona
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

30.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

30.7%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cartagena's performance.

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Girona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Cartagena - Girona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Cartagena has the most likely position - 10 (15.14%), has project points - 57, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Girona has the most likely position - 4 (33.59%), has project points - 71, has currently - 61, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (90%), has a chance of promoted (36%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 36, small importance 16, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Cartagena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Girona is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cartagena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
16.04.22	Cartagena - Alcorcón	3:1 ✺
08.04.22	Lugo - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	4:1 ✺
19.03.22	Cartagena - Zaragoza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.22	Girona - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Zaragoza - Girona	1:0 ✺
01.04.22	Girona - Málaga	1:0 ✺
27.03.22	Almería - Girona	0:1 ✺
19.03.22	Girona - Ibiza	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.11.21	Girona - Cartagena	2:0
30.05.21	Cartagena - Girona	1:1
27.10.20	Girona - Cartagena	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.01.20	Cartagena - Girona	2:4 ET
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.12	Cartagena - Girona	1:1

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