Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 6

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)


	Amorebieta		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.39	3.17	3.41
	2.35	3.08	3.25	Watch
	2.31	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.8)	3.14 ↑ (2.87)	3.23 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
40.6%

Draw
30.1%

Mirandés
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

32.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

33.1%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amorebieta's performance.

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirandés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amorebieta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	21.1%	10.5%

Amorebieta - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Mirandés will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amorebieta: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Campos P. (G) 2. Mier J. 4. Manu 3. Etxeita X. 28. Garreta F. 7. Dorrio J. 21. Carbonell A. 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 9. Jauregi E. 10. Edwards R.	1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 32. Sanchez R. 27. Ramon P. 4. Sergio Barcia 26. Alcedo J. 5. Tachi 8. Sanz A. (C) 22. Baeza M. 9. Martin C. 7. Martinez G. 18. Javier Marton
Substitutes
29. Da Graca C. M. 14. Eraso J. 24. Gaya J. 16. Lasure D. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 15. Nunez A. 27. Quintero L. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 20. Sibo K.	3. Barbu 11. Chaira I. 14. Durdov I. 29. Godoy A. 24. Gomez J. 17. Iosifov N. 13. Lopez L. (G) 21. Moreno D. 10. Reina A. 15. Tomeo P.
Coaches
Mujika H.	Lisci A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Amorebieta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.23	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Espanyol - Amorebieta	3:2 ✺
27.08.23	Amorebieta - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	Albacete Balompié - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
11.08.23	Amorebieta - Levante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LLWTT
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.23	Mirandés - FC Andorra	4:3 ✺
03.09.23	Huesca - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Mirandés - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
14.08.23	Mirandés - Alcorcón	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.23	Amorebieta - Mirandés	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
15.04.22	Amorebieta - Mirandés	1:0
23.08.21	Mirandés - Amorebieta	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.03.19	Amorebieta - Mirandés	1:0
11.11.18	Mirandés - Amorebieta	2:0
04.03.18	Mirandés - Amorebieta	0:0
15.10.17	Amorebieta - Mirandés	0:1

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