Match Info

Date: 11 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	CMore, CMore MAX
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Girona		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	4	Watch
	2.05	2.85	3.75
	2.08	2.95	4.1
	2.1	2.9	3.9
	2.18	3.01	4.2
	2.05	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.14	2.93	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.31)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	3.99 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
44.6%

Draw
31.9%

Tenerife
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.2%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tenerife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.9%	20%	17.1%

Girona - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). Tenerife will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Girona has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 68, has currently - 68, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a good chance of promoted (57%), has not chance of win league.

Tenerife has the most likely position - 5 (100%), has project points - 69, has currently - 69, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (43%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 37, very big importance 100, match rating 69. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Girona won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Girona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Girona won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
05.06.22	Eibar - Girona	0:2 ET ✺
02.06.22	Girona - Eibar	0:1 ✺
29.05.22	Burgos - Girona	0:0 ✺
21.05.22	Girona - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Girona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWL
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
04.06.22	Las Palmas - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
01.06.22	Tenerife - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
29.05.22	Tenerife - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
21.05.22	Eibar - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Tenerife - Málaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.22	Girona - Tenerife	0:1
08.11.21	Tenerife - Girona	2:1
01.05.21	Girona - Tenerife	1:0
21.12.20	Tenerife - Girona	2:0
19.01.20	Tenerife - Girona	1:0
08.11.19	Girona - Tenerife	1:0
15.04.17	Tenerife - Girona	3:3

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