The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giugliano 38.5%
Draw 28.2%
Atalanta U23 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
27.4%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
26.8%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giugliano's performance.
Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atalanta U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giugliano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Giugliano - Atalanta U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Greco S. (G) 5. Pedro Justiniano 24. Caldore M. (C) 15. D'Avino L. 2. Marchisano M. 4. Zammarini R. 6. Broh J. 20. Cester S. 14. Vaglica G. 32. Balde I. 9. Isaac Prado
95. Vismara P. (G) 19. Obric R. 2. Plaia M. 4. Berto G. 25. Steffanoni F. 47. Levak S. 5. Panada S. (C) 24. Ghislandi D. 7. Manzoni A. 10. Cortinovis A. 9. Misitano G.
Substitutes
1. Bolletta L. (G) 43. Bozza M. 70. D'Agostino G. 21. De Francesco F. 71. Giordano N. 23. Laezza G. 33. La Vardera S. 25. Minei A. 31. Murilo 90. Ogunseye R. 29. Salvatore C. 12. Santarelli L. (G) 69. Volpe G.
58. Bonanomi A. 48. Cassa F. 14. Cisse M. 18. Guerini A. 61. Idele J. 80. Mencaraglia F. 37. Navarro A. 1. Pardel P. (G) 8. Pounga D. K. 21. Riccio L. 3. Simonetto F. 45. Vavassori D. 12. Zanchi E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
16', Pedro Justiniano ↓, Laezza G. ↑,
26', 1 - 0, Isaac Prado ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Isaac Prado ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Manzoni A. ⚽,
40', Marchisano M. ↓, D'Agostino G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Zammarini R. 🟨,
58', Cortinovis A. ↓, Vavassori D. ↑,
58', Plaia M. ↓, Navarro A. ↑,
66', Balde I. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
66', Isaac Prado ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
67', Laezza G. ↓, Murilo ↑,
69', 🟨,
75', Ghislandi D. ↓, Idele J. ↑,
75', Misitano G. ↓, Cassa F. ↑,
79', Broh J. 🟨,
81', Berto G. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Ogunseye R. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 12).
Recent performances by Giugliano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atalanta U23 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giugliano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.