Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Giulianova		Vigor Senigallia

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.78	2.92
	2.75	2.43	3.14	Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.8
	2.55	2.7	2.85
	2.85	2.28	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.39)	2.59 ↓ (3.43)	2.98 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulianova
34.6%

Draw
35%

Vigor Senigallia
30.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.4%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulianova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vigor Senigallia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giulianova than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Giulianova - Vigor Senigallia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Giulianova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vigor Senigallia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giulianova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vigor Senigallia	9	5	1	3	17:17	0	16
8	Giulianova	9	4	1	4	12:11	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Giulianova
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.01.26	Sora - Giulianova	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Ostia Mare - Giulianova	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Giulianova - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Giulianova - Chieti	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Castelfidardo - Giulianova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWT
- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.01.26	Vigor Senigallia - Maceratese	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Vigor Senigallia - UniPomezia	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Vigor Senigallia - Castelfidardo	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Atletico Ascoli - Vigor Senigallia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
14.09.25	Vigor Senigallia - Giulianova	1:1

Giulianova - Vigor Senigallia