Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Giulianova

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.92
	2.17	3.58	2.84	Watch
	2.06	3.56	2.99
	2.25	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.31)	3.49 ↑ (3.41)	2.88 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
42.3%

Draw
26.1%

Giulianova
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Giulianova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulianova than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ostia Mare - Giulianova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostia Mare (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 1 - 0, Spinosa M. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 1 - 1, Morri E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Now, both teams are in good form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ostia Mare - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.17%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.12.25	Termoli - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	L Aquila - Ostia Mare	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ostia Mare - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Chieti - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Ostia Mare - Sammaurese	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTWW
- Real Giulianova
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.12.25	Giulianova - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Giulianova - Chieti	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Castelfidardo - Giulianova	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Giulianova - UniPomezia	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Atletico Ascoli - Giulianova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTWT

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