Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vigor Senigallia		Maceratese

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.25	2.72
	2.55	2.96	2.75	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.75
	2.52	2.94	2.66
	2.66	2.85	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.31)	2.96 ↓ (3.28)	2.71 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Senigallia
36.1%

Draw
30.5%

Maceratese
33.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Maceratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Vigor Senigallia - Maceratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Braconi L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Vigor Senigallia might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vigor Senigallia	9	5	1	3	17:17	0	16
16	Maceratese	9	2	2	5	10:17	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.12.25	Vigor Senigallia - UniPomezia	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Vigor Senigallia - Castelfidardo	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Atletico Ascoli - Vigor Senigallia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Vigor Senigallia - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLT
- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.12.25	Maceratese - Chieti	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Giulianova - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Maceratese - UniPomezia	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Recanatese - Maceratese	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Maceratese - Castelfidardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTW

Vigor Senigallia - Maceratese