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Current Win Probability
Gnistan 34.2%
Draw 26.9%
SJK 39%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.2%
27.6%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
28.5%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
0%
55.6%
Gnistan - SJK Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). SJK will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for SJK: 23.1% โ 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Craninx A. (G) 24. Gnanou R. 67. Obileye A. (C) 4. Marcelo Costa 27. Hannula O. 31. Jouhi A. 15. Europaeus G. 12. Arko-Mensah E. 26. Eremenko R. 17. Akinyemi A. 10. Latonen J.
1. Paunio R. (G) 6. Yussif S. 32. Yakubu S. 28. Chukwudi S. 23. Wilson A. 18. Arsalo M. (C) 10. Paananen K. 31. Onuoha E. 17. Tessilimi O. 9. Streng J. 47. Suso M.
Substitutes
7. Atarah A. 20. Bjurstrom M. H. 14. Eremenko S. 19. Hanninen V. 40. Ojala J. 11. Perez D. 22. Ramilson (G) 50. Selenge J.
8. Bostrom A. 21. Bulgakov D. 42. Caio Araujo 37. Mani 19. Mastokangas E. 26. Moisio J. 99. Rangel 5. Vaisto O. 35. Viitala J. (G)
Coaches
Leppalahti J.
Wiss J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Obileye A. ⚽, Eremenko R. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Tessilimi O. ⚽, Yussif S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Marcelo Costa ⚽,
55', Yussif S. 🟨,
56', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,
56', Eremenko R. 🟨,
60', Akinyemi A. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Europaeus G. ⚽, Eremenko R. (A),
67', 3 - 2, Onuoha E. ⚽, Tessilimi O. (A),
68', Arko-Mensah E. ↓, Ojala J. ↑,
68', Eremenko R. ↓, Eremenko S. ↑,
72', Arsalo M. ↓, Rangel ↑,
72', Yussif S. ↓, Bostrom A. ↑,
78', Wilson A. ↓, Vaisto O. ↑,
84', Bostrom A. 🟨,
87', Paananen K. ↓, Mastokangas E. ↑,
88', Latonen J. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
88', Suso M. ↓, Mani ↑,
90+3', Perez D. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
SJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E.
(Knee Injury)
Launiala K.
(Inactive)
Lyberopoulos O.
(Inactive)
Ylatupa S.
(Red Card)
von Hellens L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in SJK: Bjorkskog A.
(Knee Injury)
Mommo E.
(Inactive)
Oksanen G.
(Inactive)
Pires K.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Gnistan: Arko-Mensah E.
(Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).