Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 6

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	KuPS Kuopio		SJK

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4	Watch
	1.82	3.7	4
	1.68	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.68	4.14	5.04
	1.67	4.03	4.88	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.65	4	4.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)	3.85 (3.85)	4.51 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
54.8%

Draw
24.4%

SJK
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

23.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

KuPS Kuopio - SJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). SJK will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 33. Hamalainen T. 28. Magassa B. 23. Lotjonen A. 25. Antwi C. 13. Kujasalo N. 34. Ruoppi O. 10. Gasc V. R. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 8. Pennanen P. (C)	1. Paunio R. (G) 6. Yussif S. 4. Pires K. 28. Chukwudi S. 23. Wilson A. 17. Tessilimi O. 42. Caio Araujo 18. Arsalo M. (C) 47. Suso M. 10. Paananen K. 99. Rangel
Substitutes
4. Adams K. 9. Engvall G. 17. Heinonen A. 3. Heiskanen S. 29. Puukko A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 20. Soumahoro S. 2. Ward K.	8. Bostrom A. 21. Bulgakov D. 37. Mani 19. Mastokangas E. 26. Moisio J. 9. Streng J. 5. Vaisto O. 35. Viitala J. (G) 32. Yakubu S.
Coaches
Nuutinen M.	Wiss J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Yussif S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Pires K. 🟨,
56', Rangel 🟨,
65', Tessilimi O. 🟨,
67', Kujasalo N. ↓, Heiskanen S. ↑,
67', Hamalainen T. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
74', Paananen K. ↓, Streng J. ↑,
74', Suso M. ↓, Bulgakov D. ↑,
74', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
79', Rangel ↓, Bostrom A. ↑,
79', Tessilimi O. ↓, Mastokangas E. ↑,
84', Lotjonen A. 🟨,
88', Paunio R. 🟥,
89', Gasc V. R. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
90', Caio Araujo ↓, Viitala J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KuPS is considered a favorite.

There will not play in KuPS: Armah B. (Red Card) Kabuye C. (Inactive) Pasanen S. (Injury) Puukko A. (Injury) Voutilainen J. (Inactive)

There will not play in SJK: Bjorkskog A. (Inactive) Mommo E. (Inactive) Oksanen G. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 39.56%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWTW
- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.26	SJK - Ilves	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	VPS 2 - SJK	1:6 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.04.26	SJK - FF Jaro	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	TPS - SJK	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	SJK - IFK Mariehamn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.03.26	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
07.02.26	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.10.25	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:1
23.09.25	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	3:2
31.08.25	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:1
02.05.25	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
15.02.25	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:3

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