Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Championship Group

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:00	Ruutu+


	KuPS		Åland United

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.50	2.70
	2.12	3.45	2.75
	1.92	3.69	3.13
	2.21	3.73	2.69	Watch
	1.89	3.65	3.05
	1.94	3.65	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.21)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	2.91 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS
44.2%

Draw
24.9%

Åland United
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

25.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

24.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Åland United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åland United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

KuPS - Åland United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Arpiainen E. (G) 23. Juusela N. 5. Kouva S. 4. Laaksonen S. 2. Leiwo S. 24. Makipelkola E. 17. Nurmi A. (C) 6. Paavilainen L. 27. Perkaus H. 7. Rochi G. 30. Spenazzatto L.	13. Sundelius C. (G) 11. Antikainen N. 3. Degerstedt E. 8. Hagstrom M. (C) 44. Hillberg S. 21. Hordijk C. 6. Jaatinen S. 19. Pitko N. 15. Veber V. 10. Vetter J. 36. Wade J.
Substitutes
14. Hahl N. 20. Harmaala A. 12. Hautamaki N. (G) 13. Kauppila A.-M. 10. Kroger A. 8. Oruetxebarria N. 25. Partanen A. 11. Pulkkanen A. 18. Ukkonen P.	1. Niiranen L. (G) 22. Nordberg O. 5. Nurmi A. 2. Ratts A. 9. Sarjanoja I. 14. Torronen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wade J. ↓, Sarjanoja I. ↑,
62', Kouva S. ↓, Hahl N. ↑,
64', Spenazzatto L. ↓, Oruetxebarria N. ↑,
64', Nurmi A. ↓, Kroger A. ↑,
73', Antikainen N. ↓, Nurmi A. ↑,
76', Kroger A. 🟨,
84', Sundelius C. 🟨,
85', Juusela N. ↓, Harmaala A. ↑,
85', Makipelkola E. ↓, Ukkonen P. ↑,
87', Leiwo S. 🟨,
87', Veber V. ↓, Torronen A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Vetter J. ⚽, Pitko N. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KuPS has recorded 13 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:29 (averaging 2.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for KuPS against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 25:14 goals (averaging 2.8:1.6 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aland Utd W	24	16	1	7	60:30	30	49
4	KuPS W	24	14	3	7	48:30	18	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
18.10.26	Gnistan - KuPS	0:5 ✺
03.10.26	Ilves - KuPS	3:3 ✺
26.09.26	KuPS - HJK	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	KuPS - HPS	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Åland United - KuPS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTW
- Åland United
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
17.10.26	Åland United - HJK	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Åland United - Gnistan	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	HPS - Åland United	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ilves - Åland United	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Åland United - KuPS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
13.09.26	Åland United - KuPS	0:2
18.07.26	KuPS - Åland United	1:3
Finnish Cup Women
01.07.26	Åland United - KuPS	1:2
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
27.09.25	KuPS - Åland United	2:1
30.08.25	Åland United - KuPS	2:5
27.07.25	Åland United - KuPS	1:0
24.05.25	KuPS - Åland United	2:1

KuPS - Åland United