Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Championship Group

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Gnistan		HJK

	1	X	2
	12.50	9.50	1.10
	16.5	8.3	1.07
	14	8.9	1.04
	20.11	8.12	1.09	Watch
	15	7.5	1.05
	18.8	10.9	1.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.15 ↑ (11)	8.87 ↑ (6)	1.07 ↓ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
5.6%

Draw
10.2%

HJK
84.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.1%

14.9%

77%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HJK's recent form is better than expected.

Gnistan - HJK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ferm S. (G) 77. Byrne K. 20. Gurung D. 26. Karkkainen S. 8. Kemppainen S. 4. Laine I. 10. Leppioja J. (C) 16. Lindroth A. 27. Raisanen L. 7. Rita J. 14. Tiainen D.	12. Laihanen A. (G) 30. Bethea L. 24. Eranka S. 5. Gronlund J. (C) 11. Heroum N. 17. Holmstrom I. 71. Kamogawa M. 2. Karvonen N. 27. Kiviranta M. 3. Lahikainen A. 9. Sarelius K.
Substitutes
5. Koota V. 19. Laurinkoski H. 18. Martikainen O. 21. Noguera I. 28. Pohjanoksa A. 6. Spets W. 9. Tarkiainen P. 24. Tuomainen H. 1. Virtanen Espejo I. (G)	25. Forsstrom S. (G) 15. Forsten A. 13. Lassas M. 4. Sarelius U. 16. Sarkki J. 8. Suomela R. 44. Tivnan J. 10. Topra J. 18. Ylatalo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Heroum N. ⚽,
42', Karkkainen S. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Sarelius K. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 3, Sarelius K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rita J. ↓, Koota V. ↑,
46', Karkkainen S. ↓, Martikainen O. ↑,
46', Kiviranta M. ↓, Lassas M. ↑,
56', Kemppainen S. ↓, Laurinkoski H. ↑,
61', Eranka S. ↓, Suomela R. ↑,
61', Kamogawa M. ↓, Sarkki J. ↑,
68', Leppioja J. ↓, Spets W. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Spets W. ⚽,
70', Sarelius K. ↓, Ylatalo I. ↑,
73', Spets W. ↓, Noguera I. ↑,
85', Heroum N. ↓, Forsten A. ↑,
87', Laine I. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Gnistan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

HJK is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, HJK has had a series of away games.

In this match, HJK is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Including home match between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	HJK W	22	18	1	3	62:21	41	55
6	Gnistan W	22	5	1	16	29:56	-27	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
25.07.26	Gnistan - KuPS	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Ilves - Gnistan	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	Gnistan - HJK	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	VIFK - Gnistan	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Gnistan - PK-35 Vantaa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWW
- HJK Helsinki Women
UEFA Champions League Women
05.08.26	Racing Luxembourg - HJK	0:2 ✺
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
25.07.26	PK-35 Vantaa - HJK	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	HJK - HPS	4:0 ✺
12.07.26	Gnistan - HJK	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
08.07.26	KuPS - HJK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
12.07.26	Gnistan - HJK	0:1
09.05.26	HJK - Gnistan	5:0

Gnistan - HJK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide