The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Go Ahead Eagles 34.1%
Draw 24.7%
NEC Nijmegen 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
23.5%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
23.2%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Go Ahead Eagles's form might have worsened.
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC Nijmegen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
23.1%
30.8%
Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 19.1% โ 73.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Go Ahead (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.5 - Go Ahead (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Go Ahead (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 3. Nauber G. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 21. Meulensteen M. 7. Breum J. 8. Linthorst E. 17. Suray M. 9. Smit M. 18. Margaret R.
1. Crettaz G. (G) 2. Pereira B. 4. Kaplan A. 5. Ouwejan T. 25. Ouaissa S. 71. Proper D. 23. Sano K. 7. Misidjan V. 10. Chery T. (C) 18. Ogawa K. 30. Linssen B.
Substitutes
29. Adelgaard A. 20. Blomme X. 26. Dirksen J. 24. Goudmijn K. 14. Pettersson O. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 11. Sivertsen O. 27. Stokkers F. 6. Twigt C. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 15. Weijenberg R.
22. Cillessen J. (G) 14. Dasa E. 35. de Laat S. 34. El Kachati Y. 24. Fonville D. 21. Gonzalez R. 20. Lebreton N. 6. Nejasmic D. 11. Onal B. 3. Sandler P. 9. Shiogai K. 32. van Crooij V.
Coaches
Boel M.
Schreuder D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Suray M. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, De Busser J. (Own goal),
43', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Linthorst E. ↓, Salah Rahmouni Y. ↑,
65', Margaret R. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
65', Linssen B. ↓, Nejasmic D. ↑,
69', Nejasmic D. 🟨,
74', Misidjan V. ↓, Sandler P. ↑,
74', Ouaissa S. ↓, Dasa E. ↑,
77', Meulensteen M. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
77', Suray M. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
83', James D. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
85', Sandler P. 🟨,
85', Sandler P. 🟨,
87', Chery T. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Nauber G. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Go Ahead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Nijmegen: Dasa E.
(Inactive)
Entius F.
(Inactive)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Sandler P.
(Inactive)
Willems J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Go Ahead: Edvardsen V.
(Inactive)
Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
Tengstedt S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Nijmegen: Ouwejan T.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 2.1:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
NEC Nijmegen - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.78%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Indonesia
Netherlands
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De Busser J. (G) 
Deijl M. (C) 
Nauber G. 
James D. 
Breum J. 
Margaret R. 
Crettaz G. (G) 
Pereira B. 
Kaplan A. 
Sano K. 
Pettersson O. 
Sivertsen O. 
Dasa E. 
El Kachati Y. 
Gonzalez R. 
Nejasmic D. 
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