Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Croatia	SportKlub 5
France	DAZN France
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	NEC Nijmegen		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.1	1.95	Watch
	3.25	4.15	1.98
	3.37	4.13	2.04
	2.69	3.71	2.37	Watch
	3.22	4.15	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.33)	4.05 ↑ (3.65)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
30.4%

Draw
23.6%

AZ Alkmaar
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

25.7%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

25.2%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

The chances for AZ Alkmaar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	11.1%	61.1%

NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). AZ will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - AZ (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AZ Alkmaar will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 6. Nejasmic D. 4. Kaplan A. 5. Ouwejan T. 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. (C) 23. Sano K. 11. Onal B. 25. Ouaissa S. 18. Ogawa K. 30. Linssen B.	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 6. Koopmeiners P. 8. Clasie J. (C) 10. Mijnans S. 11. Sadiq I. 35. Meerdink M. 27. Daal R.
Substitutes
22. Cillessen J. (G) 8. Darelas A. 35. de Laat S. 34. El Kachati Y. 24. Fonville D. 21. Gonzalez R. 20. Lebreton N. 7. Misidjan V. 33. Sbai Y. 9. Shiogai K. 32. van Crooij V. 39. van de Wiel M.	15. Chavez Garcia M. 4. Dekker M. 22. Dijkstra E. 17. Jensen I. 21. Kwakman D. 33. Sin M. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 7. Weslley Patati 25. Zeefuik L. 41. Zoet J. (G)
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Martens M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', de Wit M. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Onal B. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
29', Goes W. 🟨,
44', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
46', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
51', Meerdink M. 🟨,
58', Ouwejan T. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Sadiq I. ⚽,
64', de Wit M. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
69', Clasie J. 🟨,
71', Kaplan A. 🟨,
74', Meerdink M. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Proper D. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
81', Ogawa K. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
81', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
82', Goes W. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
85', Clasie J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.

In recent matches, Nijmegen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AZ is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nijmegen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

AZ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nijmegen: Chery T. (Red Card) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Parrott T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.25	Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:5 ✺
31.08.25	Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
24.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
14.09.25	Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
29.03.25	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	3:3
17.08.24	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:0
28.04.24	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	0:3
06.12.23	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:2
21.05.23	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	0:3
01.09.22	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:1
06.03.22	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	1:3

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