Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 1

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Goiás		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.2
	1.82	3.35	4.35	Watch
	1.82	3.5	4.9
	1.75	3.64	4.58
	1.83	3.3	4.2
	1.78	3.37	4.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)	3.42 ↑ (3.28)	4.53 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
52.1%

Draw
27.3%

América Mineiro
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Goiás - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 2 - 50%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Goiás (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 2. Rodrigo Soares 25. Luisao 3. Luiz Felipe 6. Nicolas 5. Filipe Machado 97. Lourenco 10. Lucas Lima 28. Gege 9. Anselmo Ramon 21. Jean Carlos	1. Gustavo (C) 26. Maguinho 2. Emerson Santos 4. Rafa Barcelos 96. Artur 8. Felipe Amaral 10. Yago Souza 21. Eduardo Person 7. Gabriel Barros 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 11. Thauan
Substitutes
55. Baldoria 88. Brayann 11. Bruno Savio 18. Cadu 20. Diego Caito 54. Djalma Silva 15. Garcia E. 8. Juninho 40. Kadu 29. Murilo Camara 17. Pedrinho 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G)	16. Ale 5. Elizari F. 23. Everton Brito 52. Italo Brito (G) 6. Paulinho 20. Paulo Victor 12. Samuel 77. Segovia M. 97. Val Soares 43. Wesley 9. Willian Bigode
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Anselmo Ramon (Penalty Awarded),
31', 2 - 0, Tadeu (Penalty Awarded),
43', Filipe Machado 🟥,
45+2', Nicolas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yago Souza ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
46', Artur ↓, Paulinho ↑,
46', Lucas Lima ↓, Murilo Camara ↑,
46', Jean Carlos ↓, Baldoria ↑,
53', Lourenco ↓, Juninho ↑,
60', Gabriel Barros ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
60', Eduardo Person ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
65', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Cadu ↑,
71', Felipe Amaral ↓, Ale ↑,
81', Nicolas ↓, Djalma Silva ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Gege ⚽, Juninho (A),
90+1', 3 - 1, Gonzalo Mastriani ⚽, Willian Bigode (A),
90+6', Gonzalo Mastriani 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 3.

Goiás is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

América MG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Goiás may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Goiás is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Goiás: Wellington Rato (Injury)

We predict that Goiás will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Goias: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45
19	America MG ✔	32	4	5	23	21:53	-32	17

Last Results with these Odds

Goiás - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.84%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Maringá - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
15.03.26	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Goiás - Fluminense Piaui	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
07.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Goiás - Anapolina	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWWW
- América Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - América Mineiro	1:0 penalties ✺
04.03.26	América Mineiro - Tirol	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.03.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	América Mineiro - North Esporte Clube	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.08.25	Goiás - América Mineiro	1:0
20.04.25	América Mineiro - Goiás	1:0
17.10.24	América Mineiro - Goiás	2:2
02.07.24	Goiás - América Mineiro	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
06.12.23	Goiás - América Mineiro	1:0
13.08.23	América Mineiro - Goiás	0:1
26.10.22	Goiás - América Mineiro	2:2

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