Match Info

Mineiro - Round 8

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	América Mineiro		North Esporte Clube

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.45	4.45
	1.73	3.53	4.75
	1.69	3.6	4.61
	1.7	3.2	4.5
	1.69	3.38	4.78	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.81)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)	4.64 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
53.7%

Draw
26.6%

North Esporte Clube
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

28%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

30.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

North Esporte Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Esporte Clube than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

América Mineiro - North Esporte Clube Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (C) 22. Leo Alaba 3. Nathan Pelae 2. Emerson Santos 6. Paulinho 21. Eduardo Person 8. Felipe Amaral 10. Yago Souza 77. Segovia M. 9. Willian Bigode 11. Thauan	31. Yago Oliveira (G) 13. Diego Guerra 26. Leo Gobo 4. Bruno Bispo 2. Lucas Mota 5. Camacho 55. Ferreira (C) 6. Foguinho 20. Serginho 17. Gabriel Rossetto 19. Bruno Lopes
Substitutes
16. Ale 96. Artur 5. Elizari F. 88. Jhonatan Lima 26. Maguinho 20. Paulo Victor 4. Rafa Barcelos 12. Samuel 97. Val Soares 19. William (G) 33. Yago Santos 67. Yarlen	10. Christian 8. Evanderson 11. Felipe Marques 35. Patrick Santos 92. Rafael Pin (G) 28. Rennan Siqueira 1. Reynaldo (G) 95. Rodrigo Fumaca 34. Ulisses 98. Wandinho 23. Wellisson 30. Yuri Merlim
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Kleberson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Leo Gobo 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Thauan ↓, Yarlen ↑,
46', Yago Souza ↓, Val Soares ↑,
61', Leo Alaba ↓, Maguinho ↑,
66', Ferreira ↓, Evanderson ↑,
66', Lucas Mota ↓, Rodrigo Fumaca ↑,
67', Diego Guerra ↓, Wellisson ↑,
80', Rodrigo Fumaca 🟨,
83', Bruno Lopes ↓, Wandinho ↑,
83', Camacho ↓, Yuri Merlim ↑,
83', Willian Bigode ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
83', Segovia M. ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
90+4', Wellisson 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 1, Yuri Merlim ⚽, Foguinho (A),
90+6', Yuri Merlim 🟨,
90+6', Bruno Bispo 🟨,
90+7', Yago Oliveira 🟨,
90+13', 1 - 1, Val Soares (Penalty Awarded),
90+17', 2 - 1, Val Soares (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, América MG is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.02.26	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	América Mineiro - URT	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Uberlândia - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Itabirito - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTTT
- North Esporte Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
07.02.26	North Esporte Clube - Uberlândia	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Democrata GV - North Esporte Clube	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Pouso Alegre	5:2 ✺
21.01.26	Tombense - North Esporte Clube	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Betim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL

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