Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Correia B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping


	Goiás		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.1	5	Watch
	1.82	3.15	4.65	Watch
	1.93	3.17	5.14
	1.83	3.2	4.88
	1.85	2.9	4.8
	1.84	3.08	4.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.5)	3.1 ↓ (4.08)	4.91 ↓ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Goiás
50.7%

Draw
30.2%

Cuiabá
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

22.8%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

22.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goiás's form might have worsened.

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goiás, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Goiás - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: Goiás will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 25. Luisao 3. Luiz Felipe 14. Lucas Ribeiro 6. Nicolas 5. Filipe Machado 21. Jean Carlos 97. Lourenco 28. Gege 10. Lucas Lima 9. Anselmo Ramon	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 4. Vitor Mendes 30. Raul (C) 13. Joao Basso 37. Raylan 5. Calebe Costa 8. Pepe 14. Eric Melo 88. David Miguel 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 10. Hernades
Substitutes
55. Baldoria 88. Brayann 11. Bruno Savio 18. Cadu 54. Djalma Silva 16. Farias H. 8. Juninho 40. Kadu 35. Luquinhas 17. Pedrinho 4. Ramon Menezes 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G)	7. Asad Y. 11. Eliel 1. Joao Carlos (G) 41. Kauan Cristtyan 36. Lorenzo 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 2. Nino Paraiba 29. Vinicius Peixoto 53. Weverson
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Filipe Machado 🟨,
8', Eric Melo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Filipe Machado ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
46', Lucas Ribeiro ↓, Cadu ↑,
50', Hernades 🟨,
61', Lucas Lima ↓, Brayann ↑,
62', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Eliel ↑,
70', Gege ↓, Djalma Silva ↑,
71', David Miguel ↓, Weverson ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Hernades ⚽, Eliel (A),
78', Calebe Costa ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
78', Pepe ↓, Luis Soares ↑,
78', Eric Melo ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
78', Nicolas ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Hernades ⚽, Weverson (A),
90+7', Bruno Savio 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 4.

Goiás is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cuiabá is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Goiás is the team to beat.

There will not play in Goiás: Diego Caito (Inactive) Garcia E. (Red Card) Luquinhas (Inactive) Rodrigo Soares (Red Card)

There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Inactive) Eliel (Inactive) Gabriel Knesowitsch (Inactive) Marlon (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Calebe Costa (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Juventude - Goiás	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Goiás - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Londrina - Goiás	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Goiás - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Maringá - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
15.04.26	Cuiabá - Porto Vitória	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
07.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Cuiabá - Ceará	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Fortaleza - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.11.25	Cuiabá - Goiás	0:1
19.07.25	Goiás - Cuiabá	3:1
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:1 penalties
02.05.24	Goiás - Cuiabá	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
21.10.23	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:1
04.06.23	Goiás - Cuiabá	0:1
Brazilian Copa Verde
29.03.23	Goiás - Cuiabá	2:0

Upcoming Matches