Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 2

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Fortaleza		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	6	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.55	6.71
	1.69	3.41	5.65	Watch
	1.67	3.25	5.5
	1.68	3.38	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.66)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)	5.81 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
56.2%

Draw
27.7%

Cuiabá
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

27.1%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Fortaleza - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brenno (G) 13. Mauricio Junior 2. Britez E. (C) 3. Lucas Gazal 18. Fuentes G. 37. Ryan 8. Ronald 88. Lucas Sasha 38. Lucca Prior 32. Luiz Fernando 7. Pochettino T.	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 37. Raylan 91. Luis Soares 5. Calebe Costa 6. Marlon 88. David Miguel 30. Raul (C) 97. Luiz Otavio 29. Vinicius Peixoto 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 36. Lorenzo
Substitutes
33. Kaua Rocha 4. Luan Freitas 10. Lucas Crispim 19. Lucas Emanoel 9. Miritello J. B. 28. Paulinho 77. Paulo Baya 29. Rodrigo 75. Rodriguinho 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 11. Vitinho 31. Welliton	14. Eric Melo 10. Hernades 49. Joao Araujo 13. Joao Basso 1. Joao Carlos (G) 26. Joao Vitor 41. Kauan Cristtyan 19. Mateus Santos 2. Nino Paraiba 53. Weverson
Coaches
Thiago Carpini	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Raylan ↓, Joao Basso ↑,
46', Vinicius Peixoto ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
58', Ryan ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
59', Fuentes G. ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
59', Lucca Prior ↓, Lucas Emanoel ↑,
67', Luiz Otavio ↓, Weverson ↑,
73', Thiago Carpini 🟥,
73', Pochettino T. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
76', Lucas Emanoel 🟨,
78', Mauricio Junior ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
79', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Hernades ↑,
81', David Miguel 🟨,
86', Hernades 🟨,
86', Lorenzo ↓, Eric Melo ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.

Fortaleza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cuiabá is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fortaleza is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fortaleza: Cardona T. (Muscle Injury) Mailton (Red Card)

There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Inactive) David Miguel (Inactive) Eliel (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Pierre (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Vitor Mendes (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Fortaleza will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.7:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fortaleza	32	15	11	6	37:27	10	56
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	Fortaleza - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Botafogo SP - Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Nova Iguaçu - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Manauara - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
28.03.26	Gama - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Cuiabá - Tocantinópolis	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Cuiabá - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Santa Catarina - Cuiabá	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
12.02.26	Sport Sinop - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.09.24	Fortaleza - Cuiabá	1:0
16.06.24	Cuiabá - Fortaleza	5:0
12.11.23	Cuiabá - Fortaleza	2:1
16.07.23	Fortaleza - Cuiabá	0:1
31.07.22	Cuiabá - Fortaleza	0:1
10.04.22	Fortaleza - Cuiabá	0:1
06.12.21	Cuiabá - Fortaleza	1:0

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