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Current Win Probability
Dinamo Minsk 49.5%
Draw 28.5%
Gomel 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
24.8%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
24.2%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Minsk's form might have worsened.
Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gomel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Minsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gomel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Dinamo Minsk - Gomel Predictions
Users Predictions:
Dinamo Minsk will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Kozakevich M. (G) 33. Karpovich S. 12. Ivanov A. 26. Kalinin V. 25. Toure A. 27. Aleksandrov M. 8. Selyava A. (C) 42. Abdullahi F. 78. Sokolovskiy A. 7. Malashevich E. 10. Vardanyan K.
44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 43. Shaykhtdinov D. 16. Zayats I. 90. Kukushkin G. 14. Pashevich P. 33. Sotnikov V. 19. Silinskiy D. 23. Danilin K. 13. Lisakovich D. 10. Laptev D. (C) 11. Simanenka T.
Substitutes
11. Alykulov G. 2. Dubatovka M. 80. Gweth L. 22. Molchan E. 1. Shimakovich I. (G) 3. Shvetsov M. 99. Tsepenkov K. 24. Vakulich A. 23. Zhechko A.
7. Achapovskiy A. 8. Barsukov E. 21. Kovalevich D. 9. Leonovich K. 17. Martinkevich V. 3. Matveychik S. 88. Ryzhchenko A. (G) 77. Savitskiy A. 30. Troyakov E.
Coaches
Shagoyko A.
Gorovtsov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Malashevich E. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Aleksandrov M. ⚽,
41', Danilin K. 🟨,
42', Toure A. 🟨,
44', Kukushkin G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Lisakovich D. 🟨,
53', Laptev D. ↓, Kovalevich D. ↑,
53', Shaykhtdinov D. ↓, Martinkevich V. ↑,
58', Toure A. ↓, Vakulich A. ↑,
59', Aleksandrov M. ↓, Alykulov G. ↑,
69', Lisakovich D. ↓, Leonovich K. ↑,
72', Alykulov G. 🟨,
74', Danilin K. ↓, Barsukov E. ↑,
74', Malashevich E. ↓, Molchan E. ↑,
75', Sokolovskiy A. ↓, Zhechko A. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Simanenka T. ⚽,
86', Zayats I. 🟨,
89', Martinkevich V. 🟨,
90', Vardanyan K. ↓, Gweth L. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Minsk won 4.
Dinamo Minsk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gomel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Gomel has had a series of home games.
In this match, Dinamo Minsk is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Minsk won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Minsk won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).