Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 26

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Gorée		HLM

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.58	4.35
	1.97	2.54	4.77
	2.06	2.53	4.86
	2	2.5	4.33
	2.18	2.74	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.98)	2.58 ↓ (2.82)	4.47 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorée
44.4%

Draw
35.3%

HLM
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

31.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

30.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

HLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorée than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HLM than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Gorée - HLM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 11).

Gorée is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

HLM's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gorée may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gorée is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gorée won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	US Goree	30	11	15	4	29:14	15	48
11	ASC HLM	30	5	18	7	18:24	-6	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Gorée
Senegal Ligue 1
03.05.26	Camberene - Gorée	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Casa Sport - Gorée	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Gorée - Jaraaf	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Pikine - Gorée	0:1 ✺
30.03.26	Gorée - Sonacos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTTWW
- HLM
Senegal Ligue 1
03.05.26	HLM - Guédiawaye	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Teungueth - HLM	1:0 ✺
20.04.26	HLM - Stade de Mbour	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Wally Daan - HLM	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	HLM - AJEL de Rufisque	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
11.01.26	HLM - Gorée	0:5
01.12.24	HLM - Gorée	1:2

Gorée - HLM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide