Match Info
Ligue 1 - Round 30Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday
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Gorée |
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Stade de Mbour |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.98 |
2.65 |
4.10 |
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 |
2.05 |
2.62 |
4.05 |
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2.07 |
2.42 |
4.61 |
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2.28 |
2.24 |
4.95 |
 Watch |
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2 |
2.63 |
3.9 |
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2.03 |
2.55 |
4.63 |
Watch |
 |
2.01 |
2.8 |
3.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(2.01) |
2.56 ↓
(2.8) |
4.28 ↑
(3.75) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gorée
43.7% | Draw
35.2% | Stade de Mbour
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Stade de Mbour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorée than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade de Mbour than the current prediction. (+2.7%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gorée will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Recently, Mbour has had a series of away games. In this match, Gorée is a strong favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorée won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Gorée won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | US Goree | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 29:14 | 15 | 48 |
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| 10 | Mbour | 30 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 33 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Senegal Ligue 1 | | | 17.12.23 | Gorée - Stade de Mbour | 2:1 | | 30.04.23 | Stade de Mbour - Gorée | 0:0 | | 19.11.22 | Gorée - Stade de Mbour | 1:0 | | 08.03.20 | Stade de Mbour - Gorée | 2:1 | | 20.03.17 | Gorée - Stade de Mbour | 0:0 |
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