Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 30

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	Gorée		Stade de Mbour

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.65	4.10
	2.05	2.62	4.05
	2.07	2.42	4.61
	2.28	2.24	4.95	Watch
	2	2.63	3.9
	2.03	2.55	4.63	Watch
	2.01	2.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.01)	2.56 ↓ (2.8)	4.28 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorée
43.7%

Draw
35.2%

Stade de Mbour
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

31.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

31.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Stade de Mbour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorée than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade de Mbour than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Gorée - Stade de Mbour Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gorée will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Mbour has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gorée is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorée won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorée won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	US Goree	30	11	15	4	29:14	15	48
10	Mbour	30	5	18	7	18:21	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Gorée
Senegal Ligue 1
17.05.26	Gorée - AJEL de Rufisque	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gorée - HLM	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Camberene - Gorée	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Casa Sport - Gorée	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Gorée - Jaraaf	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTTTT
- Stade de Mbour
Senegal Ligue 1
17.05.26	Teungueth - Stade de Mbour	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Dakar SC - Stade de Mbour	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Stade de Mbour	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Stade de Mbour - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	HLM - Stade de Mbour	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
17.12.23	Gorée - Stade de Mbour	2:1
30.04.23	Stade de Mbour - Gorée	0:0
19.11.22	Gorée - Stade de Mbour	1:0
08.03.20	Stade de Mbour - Gorée	2:1
20.03.17	Gorée - Stade de Mbour	0:0

Gorée - Stade de Mbour: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide