Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Kenya CB		Tusker

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.58	3.1
	2.38	2.61	3.32
	2.9	2.44	2.95	Watch
	2.4	2.5	3.2
	2.37	2.98	3.09
	2.33	2.62	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.63)	2.62 ↓ (2.82)	3.17 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya CB
36.6%

Draw
34.7%

Tusker
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

32.3%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

30.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya CB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Kenya CB - Tusker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KCB won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tusker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, KCB has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, KCB won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, KCB won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tusker	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	KCB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
20.01.26	Posta Rangers - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	Kenya CB - Nairobi United	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Kenya CB - Police FC	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Kenya CB - Shabana	1:3 ✺
16.12.25	Kenya CB - APS Bomet	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTLW
- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
17.01.26	Tusker - Bandari	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Tusker - AFC Leopards	0:4 ✺
21.12.25	APS Bomet - Tusker	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Tusker - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Sofapaka - Tusker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
19.09.25	Tusker - Kenya CB	0:2
02.02.25	Tusker - Kenya CB	0:0
26.10.24	Kenya CB - Tusker	3:2
18.02.24	Tusker - Kenya CB	2:0
07.01.24	Kenya CB - Tusker	0:5
Kenyan FKF Cup
29.04.23	Tusker - Kenya CB	2:0
Kenyan Premier League
22.12.22	Kenya CB - Tusker	1:2

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