Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Kenya CB		Nairobi United

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.58	3.4
	2.41	2.54	3.52	Watch
	2.38	2.4	3.5
	2.37	2.56	3.47
	2.36	2.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.28)	2.52 ↓ (2.71)	3.48 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya CB
38.1%

Draw
35.9%

Nairobi United
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

33.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

33.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Kenya CB - Nairobi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Omala D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).

KCB is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nairobi United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

KCB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, KCB has had a series of home games.

KCB might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, KCB won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	KCB	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
10	Nairobi United	3	0	3	0	3:3	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
09.01.26	Kenya CB - Police FC	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Kenya CB - Shabana	1:3 ✺
16.12.25	Kenya CB - APS Bomet	4:2 ✺
11.12.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kenya CB	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWWW
- Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League
11.01.26	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi United	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Nairobi United - AFC Leopards	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Shabana - Nairobi United	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Nairobi United - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Tusker - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.25	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	1:0 penalties

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