Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 12

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Gori		Samtredia

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.82
	2.29	3	2.81
	2.4	2.99	2.93	Watch
	2.3	2.88	2.8
	2.35	3.04	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.55)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	2.85 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gori
38.4%

Draw
30.1%

Samtredia
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Samtredia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gori than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (+4%)

Gori - Samtredia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Puladze P. (G) 2. Rurua B. 3. Jakhia D. 16. Okropiridze N. 17. Bafuri A. 6. Khubuluri U. 15. Hamondi B. 10. Alimbarashvili G. 14. Kurmashvili G. 13. Sirbiladze A. (C) 19. Nachkebia L.	25. Labadze A. (G) 2. Gvishiani G. 22. Mchedlishvili G. 29. Gigashvili Z. 15. Kveladze G. 7. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 31. Tsulaia L. 8. Samurkasovi D. 20. Gagnidze O. 9. Makatsaria T. 40. Chikovani T.
Substitutes
38. Asayure D. 22. Bibiluri E. 12. Guluashvili E. (G) 11. Khachapuridze G. 5. Mamulashvili G. 7. Nozadze T. 9. Sherozia L. 8. Tabatadze E.	27. Aleksidze T. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 14. Gauto R. 4. Kaladze L. 32. Lopez B. 6. Manga H. 23. Meparishvili D. (G) 39. Nosegbe-Susko D. 11. Odikadze T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Okropiridze N. 🟨,
26', Tsulaia L. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Alimbarashvili G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tsulaia L. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
46', Gagnidze O. ↓, Odikadze T. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Okropiridze N. ⚽, Rurua B. (A),
60', Gigashvili Z. ↓, Gauto R. ↑,
60', Samurkasovi D. ↓, Cordero Gonzalez J. ↑,
65', Kurmashvili G. ↓, Khachapuridze G. ↑,
65', Alimbarashvili G. ↓, Asayure D. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Makatsaria T. ⚽,
76', Sirbiladze A. ↓, Sherozia L. ↑,
85', Lopez B. 🟨,
85', Mandzhgaladze G. 🟨,
88', Nachkebia L. ↓, Tabatadze E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 5).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Samtredia has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gori won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Samtredia	27	11	4	12	48:40	8	37
10	Gori	27	6	9	12	27:35	-8	27

Last Results with these Odds

Samtredia - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gori
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
06.05.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Gori	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Gori - Merani Martvili	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Gori - Kolkheti Poti	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Gori	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Gori - Telavi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLT
- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
06.05.26	Samtredia - Aragvi Dusheti	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Samtredia - Merani Martvili	1:4 ✺
22.04.26	Kolkheti Poti - Samtredia	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
11.03.26	Samtredia - Gori	2:2

Gori - Samtredia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide