The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gori 30.6%
Draw 25.6%
Samtredia 43.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.4%
26%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
25.4%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gori than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Gori - Samtredia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Puladze P. (G) 35. Koberidze A. 16. Okropiridze N. 23. Botchorishvili V. 2. Elbakidze L. 15. Hamondi B. 8. Tabatadze E. 17. Bafuri A. 14. Kurmashvili G. 3. Akhalkatsi S. 13. Sirbiladze A. (C)
12. Lazarevs V. (G) 8. Barrios E. 16. Dobranskyi D. 25. Gaye M. 33. Latsabidze G. 20. Gagnidze O. 7. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 32. Lopez B. 11. Odikadze T. 37. Gvasalia D. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J.
Substitutes
18. Bekadze G. 27. Gazdeliani G. 12. Guluashvili E. (G) 5. Mamulashvili G. 7. Ninidze N. 25. Otinashvili L. 22. Owusu-Ansa J. 38. Seidu T.
6. Ayuk E. 40. Chikovani T. 26. Gogitadze L. 19. Jangidze T. 4. Kaladze L. 15. Kveladze G. 9. Makatsaria T. 1. Samkharadze S. 31. Tsulaia L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Koberidze A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Akhalkatsi S. ↓, Owusu-Ansa J. ↑,
46', Koberidze A. ↓, Gazdeliani G. ↑,
46', Sirbiladze A. ↓, Seidu T. ↑,
57', Gazdeliani G. 🟨,
59', Barrios E. 🟨,
60', Gagnidze O. ↓, Chikovani T. ↑,
60', Gvasalia D. ↓, Gogitadze L. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Kurmashvili G. ⚽,
74', Mandzhgaladze G. ↓, Tsulaia L. ↑,
74', Odikadze T. ↓, Makatsaria T. ↑,
77', Bafuri A. 🟨,
78', Kurmashvili G. ↓, Agiabengi A. ↑,
79', Makatsaria T. 🟨,
88', Tabatadze E. ↓, Bekadze G. ↑,
90+5', Hamondi B. 🟨,
90+5', Tsulaia L. 🟨,
Preview
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Samtredia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Samtredia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Gori has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gori against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.