Match Info

Date: 17 July 2020, Friday


	Gorodeja		Belshina

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.55	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.6
	2.59	3.32	2.69
	2.7	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.76	3.42	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.07)	3.23 ↓ (3.29)	2.55 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorodeja
35.3%

Draw
28.5%

Belshina
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

17.9%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorodeja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gorodeja's form might have worsened.

Belshina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belshina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorodeja than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gorodeja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belshina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	21.4%	53.6%

Gorodeja - Belshina Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Gorodeja will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Belshina will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belshina: 35.1% – 72.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gorodeja
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.07.20	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Gorodeja	4:1 ✺
04.07.20	Gorodeja - Vitebsk	2:2 ✺
28.06.20	Gorodeja - Isloch Minsk	0:2 ✺
20.06.20	Dinamo Brest - Gorodeja	3:1 ✺
12.06.20	Gorodeja - Slutsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLLW
- Belshina Bobruisk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.07.20	Belshina - Torpedo-BelAZ	2:1 ✺
05.07.20	Minsk - Belshina	2:2 ✺
28.06.20	Rukh Brest - Belshina	3:0 ✺
21.06.20	Belshina - BATE Borisov	0:2 ✺
14.06.20	SKA-1938 - Belshina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
03.04.20	Belshina - Gorodeja	0:1
Club Friendly
22.02.20	Belshina - Gorodeja	2:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
16.10.16	Gorodeja - Belshina	1:1
03.06.16	Belshina - Gorodeja	0:2

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