Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 29

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Totton

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.5	2.05
	2.95	3.6	2.08
	2.98	3.76	2.12
	2.97	3.5	2.1
	2.95	3.6	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.38)	3.59 ↑ (3.57)	2.09 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
31%

Draw
25.4%

Totton
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.4%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloucester City's form might have worsened.

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Totton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Totton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gloucester City - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Gloucester is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Totton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Totton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
28.01.25	Bracknell Town - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Frome Town - Gloucester City	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Gloucester City - Sholing	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Gloucester City - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
01.01.25	Merthyr Town - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTT
- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
25.01.25	Totton - Plymouth Parkway	4:0 ✺
21.01.25	Totton - Frome Town	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Totton - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
14.01.25	Merthyr Town - Totton	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Walton & Hersham - Totton	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
19.10.24	Totton - Gloucester City	1:1

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