Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday


	Newport City		Goytre United

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.25
	1.87	3.68	3.17
	1.9	3.95	3.25	Watch
	1.92	3.7	3.27
	1.9	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.87)	3.77 ↓ (4.5)	3.24 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport City
47.8%

Draw
24.1%

Goytre United
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

20.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

20.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Goytre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Newport City - Goytre United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Watts K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
16.08.24	Caerau Ely - Newport City	1:2 ✺
09.08.24	Afan Lido - Newport City	1:1 ✺
06.08.24	Newport City - Cambrian United	0:0 ✺
26.07.24	Newport City - Ammanford	3:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.07.24	Llantwit Major - Newport City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTTWL
- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
16.08.24	Goytre United - Pontypridd United	3:3 ✺
06.08.24	Goytre United - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	3:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
27.07.24	Carmarthen Town - Goytre United	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.07.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Goytre United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWWW

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